Listar Artículos por autor "Bazo Zambrano, Juan Carlos"
Mostrando ítems 1-10 de 10
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Anticipation mechanism for cold wave: forecast based financing a case study in the Peruvian andes
(Frontiers Media, 2021)Acceso abiertoIn June 2018, the Peruvian provinces of Arequipa and Puno in the southern Andean region were affected by heavy snowfall, which caused severe damage to people and livelihoods in several communities. Using the Forecast-based ... -
Assessing the performance of global hydrological models for capturing peak river flows in the Amazon basin
(Copernicus Publications, 2019)Acceso abiertoAbstract. Extreme flooding impacts millions of people that live within the Amazon floodplain. Global hydrological models (GHMs) are frequently used to assess and inform the management of flood risk, but knowledge on the ... -
Attribution of Amazon floods to modes of climate variability: A review
(John Wiley & Sons, 2020)Acceso abiertoAnomalous conditions in the oceans and atmosphere have the potential to beused to enhance the predictability of flood events, enabling earlier warnings toreduce risk. In the Amazon basin, extreme flooding is consistently ... -
Bridging forecast verification and humanitarian decisions: A valuation approach for setting up action-oriented early warnings
(Elsevier, 2018)Acceso abiertoEmpirical evidence shows that acting on early warnings can help humanitarian organizations reduce losses, damages and suffering while reducing costs. Available forecasts of extreme events can provide the information required ... -
Development of a flash flood confidence index from disaster reports and geophysical susceptibility
(Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute, 2021)Acceso abiertoThe analysis of historical disaster events is a critical step towards understanding current risk levels and changes in disaster risk over time. Disaster databases are potentially useful tools for exploring trends, however, ... -
Epidemiological versus meteorological forecasts: best practice for linking models to policymaking
(Elsevier, 2021)Acceso abiertoWeather forecasts, climate change projections, and epidemiological predictions all represent domains that are using forecast data to take early action for risk management. However, the methods and applications of the ... -
Evaluation of early action mechanisms in Peru regarding preparedness for El Niño
(Beijing Normal University Press, 2019)Acceso abiertoIn this article, we provide an impact evaluation of an intervention in Peru regarding preparedness for El Niño impacts in Picsi District of Chiclayo Province in Peru’s northwestern coastal Lambayeque region. This effort ... -
Influence of ENSO and tropical Atlantic climate variability on flood characteristics in the Amazon basin
(Unión Europea de Geociencias, 2021)Acceso abiertoFlooding in the Amazon basin is frequently attributed to modes of large-scale climate variability, but little attention is paid to how these modes influence the timing and duration of floods despite their importance to ... -
Leveraging multi-model season-ahead streamflow forecasts to trigger advanced flood preparedness in Peru
(Copernicus Publications, 2021)Acceso abiertoDisaster planning has historically allocated minimal effort and finances toward advanced preparedness; however, evidence supports reduced vulnerability to flood events, saving lives and money, through appropriate early ... -
Optimizing forecast-based actions for extreme rainfall events
(Elsevier, 2021)Acceso abiertoThe last decade has seen a major innovation within disaster risk management through the emergence of standardized forecast-based action and financing protocols. Given sufficient lead time and forecast skill, a portion ...
